AVGO Expected Move Calculator
Calculate the expected price range for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) based on implied volatility and time to expiration.
Broadcom options have grown more active post-VMware acquisition. AI networking exposure has increased IV and options volume.
Options premiums are fairly priced. Expected moves align with historical norms. This is the most common regime for large-cap stocks.
Quote refreshes every 6h. Use as context — not a real-time price.
IV typically expands into earnings and crushes on the report. Plan your position size and expiration accordingly.
Enter stock price, implied volatility, and days to expiration, then click Calculate expected move to see the expected price range.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Read full disclaimer
Expected Move for Similar Tickers
Trading AVGO Options & Expected Move
Broadcom's options profile shifted meaningfully after the VMware acquisition added recurring software revenue to a previously hardware-heavy semiconductor story. Expected moves into earnings have widened as AI networking exposure grew, and traders are watching custom silicon commentary as a key swing factor. Liquidity has improved alongside index inclusion and rising institutional ownership, though spreads can still widen on far-out-of-the-money strikes. Dividend hikes and capital allocation announcements have produced multi-day drifts that aren't always captured in the one-day expected move. Calendar spreads work well here because longer-dated IV often stays elevated relative to weeklies. Pay attention to hyperscaler capex commentary from megacap tech as a secondary driver of AVGO's expected range.
Recent AVGO Earnings History
Last 4 quarters of EPS estimate vs actual.
| Quarter | Estimate | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $2.07 | $2.05 | Miss -0.87% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.90 | $1.95 | Beat +2.65% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.68 | $1.69 | Beat +0.50% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.59 | $1.58 | Miss -0.93% |
EPS values from Finnhub. Refreshes daily.
Expected Move Formula
Expected Move = Price × IV × √(DTE / 365)
1σ Range: Price ± Expected Move (≈68% probability)
2σ Range: Price ± 2 × Expected Move (≈95% probability)
How to Use This Calculator for AVGO
- Enter AVGO's current stock price — check your broker or a financial data site for the latest quote.
- Enter the implied volatility — use the at-the-money IV for the expiration you're targeting. Your broker's option chain will show this.
- Enter days to expiration — the number of calendar days until the options expire.
- Click Calculate — see the 1σ and 2σ expected ranges for AVGO.
- Apply to your trade — use the ranges to select strikes, evaluate iron condors, or decide if options premiums are fairly priced.
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the expected move for AVGO?
- The expected move for AVGO (Broadcom Inc.) is the price range the market expects the stock to stay within over a given period, based on its current implied volatility. Enter the stock price, IV, and days to expiration above to calculate it.
- How is AVGO's expected move calculated?
- Expected Move = Stock Price × IV × √(DTE / 365). The 1 standard deviation range covers approximately 68% probability, and the 2 standard deviation range covers approximately 95%.
- What does AVGO's implied volatility tell me?
- AVGO's IV reflects the market's consensus on how much the stock will move. Higher IV means options are more expensive and the expected range is wider. IV often rises before earnings and falls after (vol crush).
- Should I buy or sell options on AVGO?
- That depends on whether IV is elevated or depressed relative to historical levels. When IV is high, selling strategies (covered calls, iron condors) can be more profitable. When IV is low, buying options is cheaper. This calculator helps you understand the expected range before deciding.
- How accurate is the expected move?
- The expected move is a statistical estimate, not a guarantee. Historically, stocks stay within the 1σ expected range about 68% of the time and within the 2σ range about 95% of the time. Earnings announcements, news events, and market crashes can cause moves well beyond the expected range.